- Last Updated: 1:16 AM, December 1, 2012
- Posted: 12:57 AM, December 1, 2012
THE Tracker’s definition of the term “office hot”: The best-looking girl in the room, often overrated because of a lack of quality competition.
Based on that same criteria, Eagles backup running back Bryce Brown is the fantasy version of “office hot.” He looked great last week against Carolina, but the Panthers run defense is a hoard of hags. Most backs look good in their presence — they rank 26th in fantasy points allowed to opposing backs.
Take Giants fill-in Andre Brown. He exploded
in Week 3
vs. the Panthers but appeared pedestrian in the weeks to follow.
Bryce Brown has several issues working against him. His schedule isn’t great. The Cowboys (this week), Buccaneers (Week 14), Bengals (Week 15) and Redskins (Week 16) have respectable run defenses. Tampa Bay has given up fewer rushing yards than any team, with Washington not far behind in third. Of the remaining opponents, the Bengals are the most generous (17th).
And who’s to say Bryce Brown’s tenure as the feature will continue in the weeks to come. It is possible starter LeSean McCoy (concussion) returns before the end of the year.
Plus, the nature of the Eagles’ offense de-emphasizes the running game. McCoy is their most dangerous weapon, but that didn’t entice coach Andy Reid to abandon his pass-first philosophy. Why would he do that now, with a less-talented back, just weeks before his likely dismissal?
Of this week’s waiver targets, Knowshon Moreno is a safer
bet — both short- and long-term. Because the Broncos don’t have confidence in the backfield blocking of rookie Ronnie Hillman, it appears Moreno will be the go-to guy the rest of the way.
That makes Moreno a much more attractive option — closer to “Hollywood hot” than “office hot.” Bryce Brown? Put him in a room full of other fantasy options and he doesn’t look nearly as good.
Ryan Tannehill, QB, Dolphins, vs. Patriots
The only QBs the Patriots have held to just one passing TD are Jake Locker, Kevin Kolb, Sam Bradford and Mark Sanchez — not exactly Murderers’ Row. With big games against Jets last week and Texans next, Pats could suffer letdown.
Jamaal Charles, RB, Chiefs, vs. Panthers
Likely fallen behind Doug Martin and Stevan Ridley on your depth chart. Move him back up this week against the generous Panthers run defense.
Cecil Shorts, WR, Jaguars, at Bills
Cecil has no shortage of big plays this season, and with Chad Henne under center, the Jacksonville passing game is more dangerous. Buffalo has given up 20 passing TDs with just nine INTs.
Martellus Bennett, TE, Giants, at Redskins
He hasn’t scored since Week 3, but the Giants offense looked to find its groove again last week. Redskins rank 30th in fantasy points allowed to opposing TEs.
Jay Cutler, QB, Bears, vs. Seahawks
Seattle isn’t as stout on the road as it is at home, but the disparity is more on the offensive production rather than the defense — which ranks third in the league against the pass. And with Matt Forte nursing an ankle injury, Seahawks defense can focus more on the pass.
Marshawn Lynch, RB, Seahawks, at Bears
Lynch may be as tough as any back in the NFL, but the Bears simply don’t allow fantasy production from opposing rushers. Chicago’s three rushing TDs allowed are tied for the second-fewest in the league.
Torrey Smith, WR, Ravens, vs. Steelers
Clashes between these rivals seldom light up the scoreboard. Smith relies heavily on downfield plays, something the Steelers defend well.
Heath Miller, TE, Steelers, at Ravens
Baltimore has allowed more than 30 yards receiving by a TE just once in the past four games and just one TD by a TE all season.
Drew Loftis and Anthony Sulla-Heffinger tell you who you should start:
ADRIAN PETERSON vs. CHRIS JOHNSON
Drew: Peterson — AP has made the Tracker look foolish for labeling him a preseason draft bust. With WR Percy Harvin (ankle) doubtful, Vikings will lean on Peterson to keep ball away from Packers. Green Bay has given up a rushing score in five of past six. Plus, Johnson has tough matchup vs. stiff Texans defense, and Titans could fall behind early.
Anthony: Johnson — It never is a good idea to bet against Peterson, but that stiff Texans defense gave up 141 rushing yards to Johnson in Week 4, and that was before it lost Brooks Reed and Brian Cushing. Johnson has been surprisingly productive this season after many had written him off following a slow start. He should extend his streak of 100 total-yard games to seven this week against a battered, worn down Texans defense.
Last week: Anthony 16 (Trent Richardson — 85 rush yards, 1 TD, 27 receiving yards), Drew 0 (Ronnie Hillman — 9 rush yards)
Season: Drew leads, 6-4-1